Commentary: Should Trump win the US presidential election again, will Kim Jong Un pick up the phone?


In July 2021, North Korea and China normalised bilateral relations by extending the 1961 Treaty of Friendship, Cooperation, and Mutual Help for one more 20 years.

Russian President Vladimir Putin reached out to Kim for munitions following the invasion of Ukraine, with Russia and North Korea partying just like the outdated Soviet days. Kim’s newfound friendship in Beijing and Moscow earned him their tacit approval for his nuclear and missile programmes.

North Korea is now assured sufficient to simulate a “tactical nuclear strike” on South Korea, launch a reconnaissance satellite tv for pc utilizing long-range missile know-how, terminate the 2018 navy accord with South Korea, and is quickly to remilitarise the inter-Korean border.

SOUTH KOREA’S YOON SUK-YEOL TAKES A DIFFERENT APPROACH

A Trump return to the White Home might provide Kim a number of advantages. As a transactional president, Trump is more likely to put extra stress on South Korea to contribute extra to the alliance and threaten to cut back US navy presence within the area. On the similar time, Trump is simply the kind of character to need to revive private diplomacy with Kim in a bid to say success over Biden’s lacklustre North Korea coverage.

Nonetheless, Trump won’t discover it straightforward to wade the identical river twice as a result of the method to North Korea of incumbent South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol may be very completely different from his liberal predecessor Moon Jae-in.



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