Over the summer season, earlier than Joe Biden dropped out of the race, it actually regarded like Virginia might go purple for the primary time in 20 years.
Now, after the switcheroo to put in Kamala Harris because the Democrat nominee, and after the get together conventions, it’s starting to seem like a horse race in Virginia as soon as once more.
The Republican Governor Glenn Youngkin deserves some of the credit for this.
The race is just about a lifeless warmth at this level, which means Trump might positively pull out a win there.
PJ Media studies:
Kamala Ought to Panic as One other Ballot Reveals a Blue State Statistically Tied
Virginia, a state that has reliably voted blue since 2004, was thought-about a possible Trump pickup earlier than Joe Biden exited the race. Typical knowledge instructed that with Harris on the prime of the ticket, Virginia was not in play. Nevertheless, these polls instructed that the state was nonetheless aggressive. Nevertheless, a subsequent Washington Publish ballot gave Harris an eight-point lead within the state, seemingly placing to mattress the concept that Trump has an opportunity at successful Virginia.
That result’s now wanting extra like an outlier. In response to a brand new ballot from the College of Mary Washington, the election in Virginia is statistically tied.
“Vice President Kamala Harris (D) and former President Donald Trump (R) are locked in a good presidential contest in Virginia, in keeping with a brand new statewide survey from the Heart for Management and Media Research on the College of Mary Washington,” the college mentioned in a press launch.
Harris holds 47% assist in comparison with 46% for Trump in a latest survey of 1,000 adults, which Analysis America Inc. carried out from Sept. 3-9 for UMW’s Heart for Management and Media Research.
See the breakdown under:
VIRGINIA ballot by College of Mary Washington
2-WAY
Harris: 48%
Trump: 46%
—
FULL FIELD
Harris: 47%
Trump: 46%
RFK Jr: 2%
Different: 2%
——
Senate
Tim Kaine (inc): 49%
Hung Cao: 43%
Different: 2%
—
Sept. 3-9 | 756 LV | ±3.7%https://t.co/1cseQv3DYe— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) September 20, 2024
Virginia might be an necessary state to observe early on election night time. If it goes for Trump, it might be indicative of a giant Trump win.